Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.003367 0.003533 0.003703 0.003890 0.004090 0.004297 0.004530
2025-05-04 0.003049 0.003293 0.003553 0.003850 0.004183 0.004545 0.004969
2025-05-11 0.002852 0.003140 0.003455 0.003826 0.004253 0.004733 0.005316
2025-05-18 0.002698 0.003016 0.003370 0.003798 0.004302 0.004884 0.005613
2025-05-25 0.002623 0.002973 0.003370 0.003858 0.004449 0.005146 0.006044
2025-06-01 0.002521 0.002889 0.003314 0.003846 0.004501 0.005293 0.006335
2025-06-08 0.002422 0.002802 0.003248 0.003815 0.004525 0.005399 0.006577
2025-06-15 0.002317 0.002704 0.003163 0.003753 0.004505 0.005446 0.006739
2025-06-22 0.002227 0.002620 0.003089 0.003702 0.004493 0.005499 0.006907
2025-06-29 0.002171 0.002573 0.003061 0.003704 0.004547 0.005637 0.007193
2025-07-06 0.002067 0.002464 0.002949 0.003595 0.004450 0.005570 0.007192
2025-07-13 0.002022 0.002426 0.002925 0.003598 0.004501 0.005700 0.007469
2025-07-20 0.001999 0.002417 0.002939 0.003650 0.004619 0.005929 0.007901
2025-07-27 0.001939 0.002359 0.002887 0.003614 0.004615 0.005987 0.008089
2025-08-03 0.001889 0.002312 0.002847 0.003591 0.004628 0.006069 0.008312
2025-08-10 0.001841 0.002265 0.002806 0.003565 0.004635 0.006140 0.008523
2025-08-17 0.001828 0.002263 0.002824 0.003621 0.004758 0.006384 0.009009
2025-08-24 0.001790 0.002227 0.002796 0.003609 0.004784 0.006485 0.009277
2025-08-31 0.001747 0.002184 0.002756 0.003581 0.004783 0.006544 0.009480
2025-09-07 0.001697 0.002129 0.002698 0.003524 0.004739 0.006536 0.009570
2025-09-14 0.001651 0.002081 0.002648 0.003477 0.004706 0.006544 0.009686
2025-09-21 0.001626 0.002058 0.002632 0.003479 0.004747 0.006665 0.009997
2025-09-28 0.001566 0.001986 0.002548 0.003379 0.004629 0.006534 0.009870